Monday 9 April 2012

The 2nd London Mayoral Election Twitter Poll





Click on pictures to enlarge.


Poll findings
1) Boris had a good day today he got loads more tweets than anybody else. Infact more than everyone else combined. His positive rating hasn't really changed 22% today rather than 21% over Saturday and Sunday but his negative ratings came down from 28% to 15%. Less than a third of his main rivals.

2) Ken had a bad day he got more tweets but they were more negative 50% as opposed to 40% on Sat & Sun. Numerically Ken's positive tweets have hardly changed but they form a smaller %.

3) Siobhan Benita got more tweets than either the Greens or the Lib Dems and has grown in daily volume. She's wrestled the mantle of having the largest % of positive tweets from Jenny Jones. There is definately some momentum here.

4) Jenny Jones had a few more tweets today but the essentially not much has changed in the Twittersphere's positive view of her campaign.

5) Brian Paddick has both negative and positive %'s down as he's daily volume is slightly up. Although 5th out of 6 isn't anything to write home about.

6) Some people actually mentioned the BNP so they've made the poll cut with a whole 22 tweets. Not much should be read into the figures as the sample size is so small. Not expecting them to get anywhere.


7) Overall I think Ken's troubles means there is some leakage of the anti Boris vote to the Independent Siobhan Benita. Boris is sitting pretty even if he need to find £5million for homeless charities and  Chris Addison called him an idiot. Strangly I don't think that's going to hurt him too much. I think Boris is viewed something along the lines of they're all idiots but he's funny and his our idiot. Otherwise a relatively quiet day on the trail.

How does this poll work?

This poll is based on tweets made on the 9th April 2012 up until 10pm



     Candidate Positive2 Neutral2 Negative2 totalpoll2
1       Ken Lab       138      284       417        839
2     Boris Con       338      969       234       1541
3   Jenny Green        63       74        46        183
4 Brian Lib Dem        16       54        31        101
5   Siobhan IND       110      113        48        271
6    Carlos BNP         2       14         6         22
  Positive1 Neutral1 Negative1 Totalpoll1 Pospercent2
1       130      210       229        569          16
2       101      252       136        489          22
3        98      146        65        309          34
4        33       71        60        164          16
5        87      179        67        333          41
6         0        0         0          0           9
  Negpercent2 Negpercent1 Pospercent1
1          50          40          23
2          15          28          21
3          25          21          32
4          31          37          20
5          18          20          26
6          27         NaN         NaN

4 comments:

  1. Since seeing this blog I've been playing about with the r packages and while the ease of TwitteR is always nice, difficulties moving across with sentiments.

    It really nice to see a reinforcement of that niggling feeling that Ken was a bad choice for Labour candidate.

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  2. Think most of the problem Ken has is with the tax issue. If that carries on then he's in real trouble if he can move it on to other issues it could diminish as an issue.

    Seems perfectly sensible to minimise your tax liability within the law so it's s funny issue to decide who gets to be Mayor on. Suppose it's more tabloid than their planning polices even if they have a bigger long term impact.

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  3. Will, it is sensible. It wouldn't be an issue if Livingstone hadn't hypocritically condemned those who do it, saying they shouldn't be allowed to vote, and then lied about Boris doing the same.

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  4. Sooooo not getting drawn in to a debate on Livingstone's tax affairs here!;-)

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